Skip to content
The New Trade Landscape

The New Trade Landscape

2025

This page will be frequently updated with the newest information as soon as it is available.

PRIORITY ACTIONS FOR CUSTOMERS

  1. Due to the implementation of new tariffs on U.S. imports, A.N. Deringer, Inc. will require advance payment for any new duties. We encourage clients to set up their own ACH accounts to pay Customs and Border Protection (CBP) directly. To avoid shipment holds and delays, customers should contact us before booking or sending shipments affected by the new tariffs.

  2. If you do not have your own Customs Automated Clearing House (ACH) Account, we strongly recommend that you apply for it as soon as possible.

  3. If you have your own ACH Account, verify your transaction limits with your bank now. Insufficient transaction limits will cause your bank to reject Customs payments.

  4. Check and adjust your bond limits to ensure your bond is sufficient. The new tariffs may saturate your limit very quickly.

Last updated 3/7/25 1:59 PM EST

2025: A NEW ERA FOR IMPORT REGULATIONS?

Welcome to the forefront of change in U.S. trade policy. The shifts in import regulations may upend and redefine the landscape of international commerce, as the new U.S. presidential administration initiates new policies.

Tariffs are Trending.

Canada, Mexico, and China

On February 1, 2025, U.S. President Trump issued Executive Orders imposing additional duties on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. However, on February 3, President Trump issued a 30-day 'pause' on the tariffs from Canada and Mexico. Meanwhile, 10% additional duties on goods originating from China became effective on February 4.

At the end of the 30-day pause, the tariffs on Canada and Mexico went into effect, as well as an additional 10% tariff on goods from China (resulting in current tariffs of 20%). From March 4-March 6, the following applied:

  • All products of Canada as described in the Federal Register Notice are subject to additional 25% ad-valorem duties
  • Energy and energy resources from Canada are subject to 10% ad-valorem duty.
    The term “energy” or “energy resources” means crude oil, natural gas, lease condensates, natural gas liquids, refined petroleum products, uranium, coal, biofuels, geothermal heat, the kinetic movement of flowing water, and critical minerals
  • All articles that are products of Mexico are subject to additional 25% ad-valorem duties.

On March 5, a one-month exemption was put into place for automobiles coming through USMCA:

  • The exemption applies to all cars that qualify for USMCA duty-free entry. It is not currently clear whether auto parts that meet USMCA rules of origin will also be spared.

On March 6, the Trump Administration released a new executive order that amended the tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Effective on or after 12:01 am EST March 7, goods that are entered for consumption or withdrawn from warehouse for consumptions that qualify for United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (USMCA) are exempt from the additional duty rates that were implemented on March 4.

The Executive Order specifically states:

  • Articles that are entered free of duty as a good of Canada or Mexico under the terms of general note 11 to the Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States (HTSUS), including any treatment set forth in subchapter XXIII of chapter 98 and subchapter XXII of chapter 99 of the HTSUS, as related to the Agreement between the United States of America, United Mexican States, and Canada, shall not be subject to the additional ad valorem rate of duty described in section 2(a) or section 2(b) of Executive Order 14193.
  • Potash
    • Potash, that is product of Canada or Mexico, is exempt from the additional duty, if it qualifies for USMCA. Potash that does not qualify for USMCA is subject to 10% duty
    • The modifications set out in this section shall be effective with respect to goods entered for consumption, or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption, on or after 12:01 a.m. eastern standard time on March 7, 2025.
  • No end date for these exemptions for USMCA qualifying goods is specified in the Executive Orders nor CBP’s CSMS messages.

It appears that the exemption is NOT retroactive, thus those goods imported on March 4th, 5th, and 6th are subject to tariffs.

Steel and Aluminum

On February 10, 2025, President Trump has issued two Proclamations adjusting imports of steel and aluminum into the United States. The Proclamations will affect a range of downstream products, including steel and aluminum extrusions, slabs, sheets, and coils, as well as finished metal goods.

Effective March 12, 2025, 25% ad valorem rate of duty on steel and 10-25% ad valorem rate of duty on steel derivatives will apply to imports from all countries including imports from Canada, Mexico and Ukraine.

All Section 232 country exemptions and quota agreements will be terminated, and only products smelted and poured in the U.S. will remain exempt. All imports of steel from Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, EU countries, Japan, Mexico, South Korea and United Kingdom will be subject to 25% ad valorem rate of duty and steel derivative articles will subject to 10% or 25% ad valorem rate of duty.

Tariffs on aluminum articles and derivative aluminum articles increase from 10% to 25% ad valorem rate and apply to all countries except Russia.

Imports of specified derivative aluminum articles of Russia, and all imports of specified derivative aluminum articles, where any amount of primary aluminum used in the manufacture of the derivative aluminum articles is smelted in Russia, or the derivative aluminum articles are cast in Russia, shall be subject to the 200% ad valorem rate of duty. These rates of duty shall not apply to derivative aluminum articles processed in another country from aluminum articles that were smelted and cast in the United States.

We're here to help

At Deringer, we're here to support our customers and help them to adjust to the new tariffs. Some of our recommendations, like setting up your own ACH account, may take a bit of time, so we’re encouraging prompt action. It's possible Customs may have a significant backlog as well, as we anticipate many importers will need to establish new ACH accounts. We're committed to helping you navigate this new terrain.

Join us here to explore the evolving landscape of U.S. imports in 2025. Stay informed, be proactive, and position your business for success in this ever-changing trade environment.

WHAT CAN IMPORTERS DO NOW?

Despite the uncertainty of the timing, scope, and duty rates associated with new tariffs, there are strategic steps importers can take to lower risk, mitigate the impacts of new duties, and build a more resilient supply chain.  We are here to help you every step of the way. Here are some of our recommendations:

Tariff / Product Engineering

Discover opportunities to legally classify and declare goods under an HTSUS provision to benefit from a lower duty rate. 

Tariff engineering refers to design and manufacturing decisions made in such a way that the manufactured goods are classified with the U.S. HTS numbers that carry lower duty rates.

First, verify your U.S. HTS classification numbers to ensure that your products are classified correctly, and that you are not missing an opportunity for a lower duty rate.

Second, explore opportunities to change your product’s design resulting in a different HTS classification and lower duty rate.

Origin Engineering

Origin engineering focuses on sourcing essential inputs from countries not affected by increased tariffs. By altering key manufacturing steps or changing suppliers, businesses can leverage trade agreements and reduce exposure to higher duties. When exploring import options from various countries, numerous factors must be considered. This proactive approach requires careful planning and execution but offers substantial cost savings.

It is also wise to investigate any benefits from existing trade agreements, as these can provide cost savings and smoother operations. Consider any potential changes to logistics costs or capabilities, as these can influence your overall strategy. Finally, examine the regulatory requirements to ensure compliance and avoid legal hurdles.

As you consider these different strategies, keep in mind the dynamic and unpredictable nature of the new environment. For example, countries with lower tariffs today, may not provide the same opportunities in the near future.

Additional Strategies

  • First Sale Strategy: Explore a possibility of lowering your import duties by using the first sale price instead of subsequent higher prices to determine Customs value and calculate duties.  

Here is how it works:  

When goods are imported, Customs duties and fees are typically calculated based on the transaction value. In many supply chains, products are sold multiple times before reaching their final destination. Where two or more transactions may qualify as “sales for exportation to the United States”, the First Sale Strategy allows importers to use the price paid in the first sale in the supply chain, often between the manufacturer and the middleman, as the basis for duty calculation. This price is often lower than the price in subsequent transactions, which means lower duties and fees. For a transaction to qualify as the First Sale, it has to satisfy numerous requirements.

To successfully adopt the First Sale Strategy, Deringer customers should work closely with an expert to ensure compliance with all applicable regulations. Additionally, maintaining detailed documentation of all transactions and agreements in the supply chain is crucial.

  • Value Adjustments: Minimize payments or charges that are not directly related to the production of your goods.

The Trade Agreements Act of 1979 codified at 19 U.S.C. 1401a, sets forth the rules for appraisement of imported merchandise. The Act sets forth six different methods of appraisement, and their order of preference. The Act allows for certain deductions from the appraised value.  

At its core, value adjustment is about understanding Customs valuation law, using the correct valuation methodology and lowering the declared value by applying allowable deductions.

Tariffs are typically calculated as a percentage of the declared value of the goods being imported. Therefore, by lowering the Customs value, companies can effectively reduce the amount of tariffs they are obligated to pay.

Making value adjustments requires a thorough understanding of the Customs regulations and guidelines. Engaging in this practice necessitates a detailed analysis of invoices and contracts, ensuring that all deductions are compliant with Customs valuation laws. This strategic foresight not only helps in mitigating tariffs but also ensures that businesses remain compliant with international trade regulations, avoiding potential fines, penalties, or liquidated damages.

  • Trade Remedy Reviews: Decrease anti-dumping and countervailing duties through administrative reviews, new shipper reviews, or scope rulings. A trade remedy review aims to ensure that these duties remain fair, relevant, and reflective of current market conditions. 

Administrative Reviews are periodic assessments that re-evaluate the necessity and rate of existing anti-dumping or countervailing duties. They ensure that the duties correspond to the current level of dumping or subsidization. By participating in an administrative review, companies may demonstrate changes in pricing, cost structures, or market conditions, which could result in a reduction of duties if the original reasons for imposing them have altered.

New Shipper Reviews are tailored for companies that were not originally subject to the duties but have since begun exporting the products in question. By undergoing a new shipper review, these companies can potentially secure a lower duty rate if they can prove that they are not engaged in dumping or benefiting from unfair subsidies.

Scope Rulings determine whether a particular product falls within the scope of an existing trade remedy measure. If a product is found to be outside the scope, it would not be subject to the duties, potentially saving significant costs for the importer or exporter.

By engaging in these reviews, companies can potentially decrease or eliminate the additional costs imposed by trade remedies, thus enhancing their competitiveness in the market. Lowering these duties can significantly reduce the cost of importing goods, translating into savings that can be passed on to consumers or reinvested into the business.

  • Deferral Tactics: Explore the use of bonded warehouses, Temporary Import Bonds (TIB), or in-bond movements to defer duty payments.

Bonded warehouses operate in a secured area in which imported dutiable merchandise may be stored, manipulated, or undergo manufacturing operations without payment of duty for up to five years from the date of importation. Goods can remain in these warehouses for extended periods, allowing businesses to defer duty payments until the products are withdrawn for sale or distribution. This not only delays the financial outlay, but also provides flexibility in inventory management and market timing.

Transportation Bonds can be used by importers to avoid making entry and paying duties on goods that are merely transporting through the U.S., as long as certain export or bond cancellation timeframes are met.

Temporary Import Bonds (TIBs) are particularly beneficial for businesses importing goods temporarily for specific purposes, such as exhibitions, repairs, or processing. A TIB allows these goods to enter the country without duty payment, provided they are exported or destroyed within a specific timeframe. This approach helps companies avoid unnecessary duty costs on temporary imports.

Effective Advocacy for Tariff Reduction

Advocacy plays a crucial role in influencing trade policies and securing tariff reductions. Engaging with legislative bodies and regulatory agencies through trade organizations, coalitions and formal requests can lead to favorable outcomes. 

Advocacy may take the form of becoming champion for the reduction of tariffs and deregulation through strategic measures such as the Miscellaneous Tariff Bill, executive actions, and legislative or agency rulemakings.

Specifically, there is still time for importers to seek Section 301 Exclusions.  Out of 312 subheadings in Chapters 84/85, 164 products remain eligible for exclusions until May 2025. To qualify, requests for exclusions must be submitted by March 31, 2025.

Importers may wish to urge the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) and Congress to reinstate a comprehensive exclusion process. Advocate for the renewal of expired exclusions and the implementation of retroactive applications for these exclusions.

Show more
Evolving Trade Relations with Canada and Mexico

On March 4th, 25% tariffs on Canadian imports, with 10% duty on energy products from Canada, and 25% tariffs on import products from Mexico went into effect.

Effective March 7, a new executive order amended the tariffs on Canada and Mexico to exclude all products in compliance with the USMCA agreement.

Navigating Changes in Chinese Trade

On February 5, imports from China began experiencing 10% additional duties.  On March 4th, an additional 10% tariff went into effect on goods originating from China, resulting in current tariffs of 20%.

Across the Board Tariffs

The new administration has indicated that it is considering sweeping tariffs on all U.S. imports, as well as highly targeted duties applied to certain commodities from particular countries.

2025 Importers Toolkit

KEEP YOUR GOODS MOVING WITH 2025 IMPORTERS’ TOOLS:

Start with Your Overall Finances 

Navigating the financial landscape can be daunting, but understanding a few essentials can make all the difference. First and foremost, prioritize having your financials audited. This step provides a transparent and accurate picture of your financial health, which is crucial for making informed decisions. 

We suggest simulating various scenarios to understand the potential financial implications. Consider the direct tariff costs that may arise from different countries and at varying rates. Additionally, factor in associated supply chain expenses, including logistics costs such as transportation, warehousing, and freight forwarding. 

It is also essential to account for risks stemming from currency fluctuations and the costs involved in hedging against them. Furthermore, evaluate inventory carrying and storage expenses, as well as the costs related to maintaining quality control and ensuring compliance with regulations. Don't overlook the investments needed for supplier development and technology enhancements, as these can significantly impact your overall financial strategy.

First Order of Business:  Establish an ACH Account

Due to the unprecedented scope and scale of the new administration’s potential actions, we are advising our clients to obtain their own automated clearing house (ACH) account to guarantee timely duty payments. There are multiple advantages to ACH payment of duties. The primary benefit is the ability to pay duties directly to U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP).  Obtaining an ACH account will also permit you to take advantage of periodic monthly statement (PMS) procedures, which allows payment of duties on a monthly basis. 

Learn how to obtain an ACH Account 

person at computer
01Avoid Delays, Apply for ACH

Establish an ACH Account as soon as possible so that your duty payments are recorded in time.

Checklist
02Take the First Steps to Compliant Trade in 2025

Download our New Trade Landscape Tariff Tip Sheet and proactively prepare for what's ahead.

eShip Logo-1
03Use Our eShipPartner® Trade Remedy Tool

Log in to our Analytics tool and begin to estimate possible tariff/duty rates. Learn how to use our Trade Remedy Tool & Amounts Due Tool.

calculator
04Check Your Bonds

Use this Bond Calculator from our friends at Roanoke to verify your bond limits are sufficient.

person at computer
05Join Our Webinars

Listen to part 1 and part 2 of our recorded webinar series on the proposed tariffs. Sign up for all of our webinars here.

Cargo Ship
06Stay Informed

Sign up for our Trade Alerts and receive notifications of policy and regulatory changes, guidelines, and developments in international trade.

TOP 5 U.S. IMPORTS FROM MEXICO, CANADA, AND CHINA

Mexico

  1. Vehicles other than railway, tramway. Examples: Passenger cars and trucks
  2. Electrical, electronic equipment. Examples: TV receivers, electric heaters
  3.  Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers. Examples: Air conditioners, refrigerators
  4. Mineral fuels, oils, distillation products. Examples: Cigarette lighters, charcoal
  5. Optical, photo, technical, medical apparatus. Examples: Surgical instruments, orthopedic equipment, hearing aids

Canada

  1. Mineral fuels, oils, distillation products. Examples: Peat litter, petroleum jelly
  2. Vehicles other than railway, tramway. Examples: Cars, car parts
  3.  Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers. Examples: Turbo jets, internal combustion engines
  4.  Unspecified commodities.
  5.  Plastics. Examples: Table and kitchenware

China

  1. Electrical, electronic equipment. Examples: TV receivers, loudspeakers, headphones
  2. Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers. Examples: Refrigerators, freezers, dishwashers
  3.  Toys, games, sports requisites. Examples: Toys, sporting equipment
  4. Furniture, lighting signs, prefabricated buildings. Examples: Lamps, bedding
  5. Plastics. Examples: floor coverings, tableware

DON'T FORGET ABOUT YOUR BONDS

Bonds Imagery (1)

What is Bond Saturation?

Generally speaking, continuous Customs bonds are financial guarantees to the U.S. Government and indicate a commitment to comply with U.S. import laws.  Importers typically purchase these bonds from specialized insurance companies through their Customs broker.   Bonds are required to import to the United States, and are based on the importer’s estimated annual duty, taxes and fees due the U.S. Government.  U.S. Customs monitors the size of your bond against your import trends, and will cancel your bond if the limit is exceeded – it becomes ‘saturated’ relative to import trends/activity.  If the bond is canceled, imports will not continue – until such time as a new bond is in place.

Deringer anticipates that many importers’ bonds will saturate quickly if the new proposed tariffs are imposed. If an importer’s bond becomes saturated, there is the risk of that CBP may terminate the bond. Without a valid bond in place, imports may not proceed until such time as a new bond is in place. In addition, importers may experience underwriting delays from sureties, due to the high volume of bonds that will saturate. We strongly recommend that importers proactively review their bond limits now.

Securing a sufficient Customs bond is a critical consideration. Proactively increasing bonds when necessary ensures you are prepared for duty increases and avoid delays at the border.

Determine Your Bond Needs

U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reviews the sufficiency of continuous bonds on a monthly basis. The bond amount is calculated as 10% of the total duties, fees and taxes paid in the last 12 months. With the anticipated increases in tariffs, it is critical to calculate your bond amount based on the projected amount of duties and fees rather than on prior duty amounts. Failing to make accurate projections and securing an adequate bond amount can have serious consequences including the inability to import into the United States.

Start by anticipating Customs duties and fees you expect to pay in the next 12 months. This includes all duties and fees such as AD/CVD and tariffs under Sections 201, 232, and 301.

  • Once you determine the amount of coverage required by your bond (remember 10% of taxes duties and fees for the next 12 months) you should understand the Rounding Process:

    • For duties and fees ranging from $0 to $1,000,000, your bond amount is rounded up to the nearest $10,000 (note that the minimum Customs bond starts at $50,000).

    • For duties and fees exceeding $1,000,000, the bond amount is rounded up to the nearest $100,000.

For example: assuming that an importer currently has a $50,000 bond because in the past their goods have been duty free under a trade agreement. The importer calculates that over the last year they have imported $3,500,000 into the United States. Anticipating additional duties of 25%, this could result in a future duty outlay of $875,000. To calculate the proper bond amount, 10% of the anticipated duties would be $87,500 - and with the bond rounding rules – this results in a $90,000 Customs entry bond.

Comprehensive Coverage

  • Incorporate All Payments: Your calculations should include all paid and payable duties, and dutiable government fees, ensuring no detail is overlooked.

  • Handle Outstanding Bills: Calculate 10% for unpaid or protested bills under 210 days.

    • For delinquent bills over 210 days or denied protests, factor in the full amount.

  • Include Unpaid Debit Vouchers: Ensure every aspect of your financial obligations is covered.

We recommend that you use the most recent version of your entry data, guaranteeing up-to-date calculations.

Bond Usage Review  

We recommend that all importers proactively review their bond level and forecast if and when their bond may saturate. Waiting for CBP to issue a mandated increase will limit the time to react/obtain a new, larger import bond, so we strongly recommend action as soon as possible. If you believe your company’s import bond may be insufficient, we suggest completing a new import bond application  and returning it to us (BondDept@anderinger.com) for processing. (Please note that it is possible that we (and other sureties) will receive a high volume of applications, another reason we recommend importers start now.)

Bond Sufficiency Report  

Should Deringer bond clients find they are suddenly paying significant amounts of duties, taxes and fees to U.S. Customs and would like to get a snap shot of their current bond sufficiency, they can contact us at BondDept@anderinger.com and request a bond sufficiency summary report.   When doing so, please provide your company’s name and account number.  

Financial statements may be required for underwriter review on any bond, but very likely for new import bonds valued at $400,000 or more. When financial statements are required, the underwriters are looking for the importer’s latest complete, year-end financial statement:

  • A year-end financial statement is defined as a 12-month CPA prepared statement which includes, Statement of Income, Balance Sheet, and Statement of Cash Flows and accompanying notes. If the statement is not CPA prepared, the underwriters will require it to be signed by an officer of the company attesting to its accuracy. If the financial statements are not already in English, an English translation must accompany the original version. Also, if the financial statement is over a year old, the underwriters will require additional information.  

Termination and Replacement Import Bonds

Importers should be aware that there may be a collateral requirement when terminating/replacing existing bonds. It may take banks up to 30 days to issue a letter of credit (LC) once it has received all of the required information. Should collateral be required by the underwriters to secure the new import bond, it will likely be required to be issued for the face value of the new bond and the underwriters will release the required LC format for processing once the importer has provided the name and address of the U.S. bank they wish to use.

If a General Indemnity Agreement (GIA) is required by the underwriters, the GIA will need to be sign by one of the importer’s officers (CEO/CFO) and witnessed by another party (the witness does not need to be an officer of the corporation).  

If a Collateral Release Policy (CRP) is required, it can either be physically signed by a corporate officer (CEO/CFO) or if the importer would prefer sent via DocuSign to the officer who signed the GIA.  It is important that if collateral is required that the importer maintain a copy of the signed CRP as it details what must occur before the underwriters will agree to release the collateral at a later date.

Underwriter Requirements  

Given the anticipated volume of mandated increased notices, Deringer anticipates delays in underwriter reviews/processing times. It is extremely important that the importer provide all the required information/completed documents as soon as possible in a legible complete format, including:

  • financial statements,

  • ADD/CVD forms,

  • non-reimbursement statements,

  • requests for entry summary copies,

  • collateral requirements,

  • General Indemnity Agreement (GIA) requirements,

  • Collateral Release Policy requirements (CRP), etc. 

If the information provided is incomplete, provided in a foreign language (without an accompanying English translation), or not legible, then the underwriters will need to reject the information provided pending receipt of complete, legible information they can review/process.

CBP Insufficiency Notices

If the importer should receive an insufficiency notice from CBP before we have contacted them, the importer should reach out to us (BondDept@anderinger.com) with a copy of the notice they received immediately.   While CBP tends to review/issue insufficiency notices early each month, a CBP insufficiency review can occur anytime.  The deadlines for actions are detailed in the CBP notice and it is imperative that they are followed or the current bond will be rendered insufficient immediately by CBP and trigger a lapse in bond coverage.  It is important to note that CBP insufficiency will not remove the requirement that the current import bond be terminated and replaced with a new import bond.  Nor does a CBP insufficiency flag speed up the minimum 16 day term/release process.  

We know import bonds are a complex and important topic. Feel free to review our recorded webinar series (part 1 and part 2) that provides bond considerations in detail.

Show more

For those customers that use Deringer for their bonds, applications for a new import bond or to terminate/replace your existing bond, please complete this application.

*Note: The minimum turnaround time authorized by CBP to terminate/replace an existing port bond is 16 days from the time CBP receives the termination request for the existing import bond.

Completed applications should be returned to BondDept@anderinger.com.

HOW DID WE GET HERE?

Tariff Regulatory Framework

The U.S. Constitution grants Congress the authority to regulate import tariffs. However, over time, Congress has passed legislation that allows the President to make independent decisions regarding tariffs

For example, under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, the President is empowered to impose duties up to 50% on any country found to be discriminating against U.S. commerce or to ban imports from such a country. 

Additionally, Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 allows the President to impose tariffs or quotas on products that may adversely impact national security, such as the existing tariffs on steel and aluminum. Typically, this action requires a formal investigation first.

iStock-1411027460